Saturday, March 19, 2011

Nasrallah hedges his bets

It was easy to miss Nasrallah's speech today, given everything else happening in the Middle East. But it was noteworthy.

His thrust was characteristically rambling, but his tone wasn't especially angry. He even made an attempt at puerile humour (Hariri will not defend Lebanon with his jacket), which seemed well tailored to his happy audience. 

Overall, there was nothing new in what he said, but what he did not say was noteworthy. His rhetoric about the "before and after" of the STL indictment is gone! He's now saying that the indictment does not matter, because it is known known, rather than a known unknown.

It was also noteworthy, though hardly surprising, that he talked about Arab uprisings everywhere but did not mention Syria. 

Nasrallah is nervous. He's going to lose his biggest ally, and he knows it. 

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